The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has warned of impending ‘global economic slowdown’…
But the revised predictions are still well short of being a global recession. The IMF’s chief economist calls it a significant global slowdown. For the major developed economies, the IMF predicts continued, but much weaker, growth this year.
The new forecast for global economic growth this year is 4.1%, after nearly 5% last year. There is a very sluggish period ahead for the main rich countries. By the final quarter of this year, annual growth in the
Developing economies are predicted to grow more slowly than last year, though still quite robustly in many cases. The report also warns of risks from financial market turmoil, which could mean 2008 turns out worse than its main forecast.
Those problems could affect spending in the rich countries and make for more significant spillovers to developing countries. In any event, the IMF’s economists said that talk of de-coupling – the idea that the world is independent of what happens in the
One exception to the pattern of slowing growth in the forecast is