Print

Still a castle – but just one occupant

The number of married couple households is projected to fall over the next 20 years by an average of 34,000 every year. This is as a result of the increase in co-habiting and divorce, although the proportion of family households overall will still drop from 20% in 2004, to 18.5% in 2026.

The Changing UK Household Market report by Alliance & Leicester Mortgages in conjunction with think tank Centre of Future Studies also predicts the decline of the Mr and Mrs Household with 2.4 children.

These trends are partly due to higher divorce rates, with separated couples living on their own again, but also because people are staying single for longer, and then getting married and having families later in their lives.

The percentage decrease in the numbers of family homes and the increase in one-person homes means property developers will have to adapt to the changing household make-up. Over 200,000 extra new properties are needed each year to 2026 to cope with the influx of 'living loners'. This demand could be fulfilled by building or conversions such as city centre loft living.

Stephen Leonard, director of mortgages at Alliance & Leicester said: “Our 'Changing UK Household Market' report shows the demand for housing will increase over the next 20 years. Interestingly, the pressure will come from the changing make-up of households, as we see more people living on their own, and the concept of the traditional family home steadily being eroded.”

 “We can expect to see an increase in flats and converted houses in the future due to the rise in the one person household, as understandably, people living on their own will  be less likely to splash out on a larger property.”

This could spell a welcome opportunity for buy-to-let investors as living loners are more likely to want the flexibility of urban living and so would choose to rent as oppose to be saddled with a burdensome long-term mortgage.

Mr Leonard added: "We are currently witnessing a change in society that is set to continue well into the future.”

"Mortgage lenders need to recognise that future generations of homebuyers will have differing needs and financial circumstances and will need to consider this when designing mortgage products.”

Hide table

Household projections by household type: 2003-2026
Household types	Number of households	Number of households	Average annual change	Percent change
	2003	2026	2003 -2026
Married couples	9,608,000	8,834,000	-34,000	-8%
Cohabiting couple	1,867,000	3,358,000	65,000	83%
Lone parent	1,566,000	1,876,000	13,000	20%
Other multi-person	1,416,000	1,759,000	15,000	21%
One person	6,447,000	9,886,000	150,000	53%
All households	20,904,000	25,713,000	209,000	23%
Average household size	2.34	2.10	-	-9%
Source: Centre for Future Studies

Print Features Archive Show Full Table

London and the South East are predicted to have the highest rise in households, an average of 36,000 per year, resulting in 3,296,000 and 4,184,000 households in 2026 respectively. At the other end of the scale, the North East is expected to rise by an average of just 5,300 per year – a total of 1,211,000 in 2026.

Bookmark This Page

Tag, share or bookmark this page:

Recent Related Stories

Subscribe to Newsletters